Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#204
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#223
Pace64.4#259
Improvement+1.2#108

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#246
First Shot-5.5#310
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#25
Layup/Dunks+0.8#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#343
Freethrows+0.5#151
Improvement+0.1#183

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#166
First Shot-1.3#208
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#21
Layups/Dunks-2.1#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#281
Freethrows-0.6#208
Improvement+1.2#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 191   Indiana St. W 80-78 OT 56%     1 - 0 -2.0 +0.0 -2.3
  Nov 16, 2016 221   Idaho W 63-49 64%     2 - 0 +7.7 -7.5 +16.4
  Nov 19, 2016 280   @ Cal St. Northridge L 82-84 59%     2 - 1 -7.0 -3.1 -3.7
  Nov 23, 2016 301   Cal Poly L 64-68 80%     2 - 2 -15.5 -9.2 -6.7
  Nov 25, 2016 141   Elon L 80-85 2OT 45%     2 - 3 -6.3 +1.9 -7.8
  Nov 26, 2016 247   Illinois-Chicago W 92-81 69%     3 - 3 +3.3 +11.7 -8.9
  Nov 30, 2016 191   @ Indiana St. L 52-63 36%     3 - 4 -10.0 -17.9 +8.0
  Dec 11, 2016 32   @ Minnesota L 57-77 6%     3 - 5 -4.8 -6.1 +1.6
  Dec 17, 2016 276   @ Florida International W 60-53 57%     4 - 5 +2.6 -8.3 +12.0
  Dec 20, 2016 279   @ South Florida W 59-48 59%     5 - 5 +6.1 -9.4 +16.5
  Jan 03, 2017 274   @ Miami (OH) L 67-69 57%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -6.3 +7.3 -13.9
  Jan 07, 2017 242   Central Michigan W 87-83 68%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -3.4 -3.9 +0.1
  Jan 10, 2017 147   @ Kent St. W 74-70 OT 27%     7 - 6 2 - 1 +7.6 -3.9 +11.0
  Jan 14, 2017 239   @ Bowling Green W 69-52 49%     8 - 6 3 - 1 +14.8 -7.0 +21.1
  Jan 17, 2017 274   Miami (OH) W 62-58 74%     9 - 6 4 - 1 -5.4 -12.3 +6.9
  Jan 21, 2017 103   Ohio L 69-78 35%     9 - 7 4 - 2 -7.6 +0.1 -7.9
  Jan 24, 2017 147   Kent St. L 66-73 46%     9 - 8 4 - 3 -8.5 +0.3 -9.5
  Jan 28, 2017 132   @ Toledo W 74-72 26%     10 - 8 5 - 3 +6.2 +2.7 +3.6
  Jan 31, 2017 105   Akron L 73-76 35%     10 - 9 5 - 4 -1.7 +0.4 -2.3
  Feb 04, 2017 163   Eastern Michigan W 81-69 49%     11 - 9 6 - 4 +9.6 +13.7 -3.0
  Feb 07, 2017 125   @ Buffalo L 45-65 24%     11 - 10 6 - 5 -15.4 -21.6 +4.5
  Feb 11, 2017 160   @ Western Michigan L 67-76 30%     11 - 11 6 - 6 -6.2 +1.8 -9.1
  Feb 14, 2017 166   Ball St. L 72-81 OT 50%     11 - 12 6 - 7 -11.5 -11.7 +1.4
  Feb 18, 2017 132   Toledo L 80-88 OT 43%     11 - 13 6 - 8 -8.8 +10.1 -19.5
  Feb 21, 2017 242   @ Central Michigan W 89-66 49%     12 - 13 7 - 8 +20.6 +11.0 +10.3
  Feb 25, 2017 163   @ Eastern Michigan L 68-84 30%     12 - 14 7 - 9 -13.3 +6.0 -21.8
  Feb 28, 2017 160   Western Michigan L 56-70 49%     12 - 15 7 - 10 -16.3 -17.3 +0.5
  Mar 03, 2017 166   @ Ball St. L 82-87 31%     12 - 16 7 - 11 -2.4 +9.8 -12.2
  Mar 06, 2017 163   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-72 30%     12 - 17 -0.3 +4.0 -4.7
Projected Record 12.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%